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Thursday, October 11, 2007

 

BBTN at its finest

John Kruk picks the Rockies to win the NLCS because they "catch the ball."

Rockies team fielding %: .989
D'Backs team fielding %: .983


Not terrible, but not significant. Not to mention fielding % is possibly one of the most meaningless statistics in baseball.

Out of all the reasons he picked Colorado to be the favorite, he picked fielding %. Not the fact that they have won 17 of their last 18, or because they smash the mother humping hell out of the ball.

And Fernando Vina picks the Red Sox in the ALCS over the Indians because of their pitching.

Beckett vs. Sabathia is a wash.
Dice-K vs. Carmona I take Carmona all day.
Schilling vs. Westbrook is a no brainer.

So I'd say its pretty much a wash. But not a resounding advantage either way.

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Comments:
Glad to see you back on the blogging side of things. Your insight is always second to none.

Kevin
 
Not to defend John Kruk... but put the money ball Harvard grads (sorry, Kev) on TV to explain why one team would win and after the second sentence, your average couch potato makes a confused face, scratches his head (yes... I know that's sexist) and flips back to ultimate fighting. Though for this PhD student, your point is well taken. :)
 
I'm pretty sure that the BoSox decided to flip-flop Schilling and Dice-K in the rotation for match-up purposes, with Curt taking the mound against Carmona for Game 2 and Dice-K facing Westbrook in Game 3. Does that change things much as far as who has the edge pitching-wise?
 
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